Pace Terms – Hedger Pro

Top Pace Terms

Notes		Hedge Averages				Hedge	Back Win Stats
Term	Prevalence	Price Drop	Book Diff	Max Prof	ROI	Chart	Runs	ROI	SR	Ave Odds	Ave W Odds

Overview:

The defualt 'top terms' used are from 2014 to the current date - they are in-running notes with terms (of 1 or 2 words) that appear a significant number of times.

The data shown gives a measure of how often a pace term appears, which is useful when using them in the shortlist builder and assessign previous runs.

It also shows if the term was historically profitable as a hedge between the range of 10% to 500%, as shown in the chart, and therefore whether terms are an accurate measure of actual race performance.

This does NOT translate to profitability for today's runners with these terms in their historical runs, nor does it predict the in-running pace of the horse in it's next race.

Table Keys:

Term:

The text in the in-running notes

Prevalence:

How often the term appears in result comments as a percentage of total comments on record.

Ave Price Drop:

The in-running price reduction from 'BSP' to 'In Play Low' expressed as a percentage from -100% to +100%, This is the average reduction for all runs with this term.

Ave Book Diff:

The average drop in book value for runs with this term. Book Drop is 'In Play Book' - 'BSP Book'. Book is 100 / Odds.

Ave Max Prof:

The 'Max Prof' is the maximum profit, expressed in odds, that could have been achived by an in-play tarde. This is an average of this value for runs with the term in its notes

Ave Hedge ROI:

The ROI for a hedging level (say 100%, which is a DOB) that would have been achieved for hedging all runs with these notes. The chart shows 10% to 500% in steps of 10. This is the average value for the chart to the right.

Hedge Chart:

'Hedge Target Return' v's 'Actual Overall ROI'. The chart ranges from 10% to 500% in steps of 10.

Runs:

Total number fo runs

W ROI:

Straight backing win ROI

W SR:

Straight backing win strike rate

Ave Odds:

Average odds for win back betting

Inline Data:

Click any row to view a larger chart of hedging RIO and SR.